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Public blog posts only as education and entertainment. private membership market updates reflect my view and analysis of the market. The information contained on this website and from any communication related to the author’s blog and charts is for information purposes only. The chart analysis and the market comments do not hold out as providing any financial, legal, investment, or other advice. In addition, no suggestion or advice is offered regarding the nature, profitability, suitability, sustainability of any particular trading practice or investment strategy. The materials on this website do not constitute offer or advice and you should not rely on the information here to make or refrain from making any decision or take or refrain from taking any action. It is up to the visitors to make their own decisions, or to consult with a registered professional financial advisor. And i absolutely discourage trading options.

Saturday, January 1, 2011

A humble new year outlook for 2011

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A full 16 pages 2011 outlook comprehensive report is available.
An unique extraordinary $RUT analysis is available.
An unique extraordinary $NDX analysis is available.

First chart of DJIA showing it's at the critical blue line, humble call it "storm neckline".
during Y2K, it melt down from the storm neckline - that was the internet bubble.
after the first rejection at Q2 2006, it melt up during Q4 2006 toward all time high - that was the housing bubble, the king of the bubbles.
during Q1, Q2 2008, it found support twice (Jan & Mar) at the storm neckline.
during Q3, Q4 2008, it melt down from the storm neckline - the storm crash of the housing bubble.
also there is a LT red trend line resistance, and a intermeidaite term (MT) green line support forming a bearish wedge or ending diagonal.
the whole 11 years is a big bearish head and shoulder. the measured downside target is too low, too pessimistic for humble to say it at this moment.
here DJIA is at the critical storm neckline again. humble guesses melt down from here.

we have the internet bubble as the left hand man, the left shoulder.
we have the housing bubble as the king, the head.
we have the QE stock market bubble as the right hand man, the right shoulder.

second chart showing $spx is at the 80 years trend line resistance from year 1930's Great Depression I, GDI.

full report available for:
next examining the big picture and details and cycle rhythm between year 1930's GDI and current situation outlook.

detailed ST, MT, LT spx, indu, rut, ndx patterns, structures, ew, ribbon band, timing cycle also presented.

some international indexes also presented. including dax, ftse, cac, stoxx, ftsemib, nikk, sti, hsi, bse...
detailed short term of ftse mib, sti, bse also presented.

Have a happy, safe, peace, and prosperous 2011.
thanks for the support in 2010.
humble echen

PS 1). some PAST OLD tbt, Treasury bond and spx reports at: