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Public blog posts only as education and entertainment. private membership market updates reflect my view and analysis of the market. The information contained on this website and from any communication related to the author’s blog and charts is for information purposes only. The chart analysis and the market comments do not hold out as providing any financial, legal, investment, or other advice. In addition, no suggestion or advice is offered regarding the nature, profitability, suitability, sustainability of any particular trading practice or investment strategy. The materials on this website do not constitute offer or advice and you should not rely on the information here to make or refrain from making any decision or take or refrain from taking any action. It is up to the visitors to make their own decisions, or to consult with a registered professional financial advisor. And i absolutely discourage trading options.

Friday, March 11, 2011

crash course feasibility study

there are many talks about a crash coming right here. here is the feasibility study.
there are talks about the similarity of current pattern to the Flash crash on May 6, 2010. the pattern is invalid as detailed analyzed in the previous Mar 6 weekend report, page 5.
currently there is no valid crash setup in humble crash system in terms of setup, pattern and timing.
even if a crash would come, it would be in the course of the charted pattern, and $spx would have to at least rise to around 1325+- to meet one of the conditions of the setup the humble crash pattern. it needs 6 conditions to setup a "once-in-a-life-time" crash in humble crash system, we are far from that.
i do not see the picture of a crash coming, but will review when the setup is mature if there is one.
if there is a crash coming, i would know and pre-warned by the humble crash system, it's a very strick system design by my own, back tested all major crashes. i am THE "crash course" expert. :)
btw, what's the other side of the blade of the crash?

since the pattern is posted, mostly(99.99%) it would become invalid, because too many people know and anticipated. better chance would be a surprise and nobody know!