Pattern; Cycle; Expanding nature; Elliott Wave Relativity with Humblestudent echen

Operation Code Blue vs. Operation Twist

2012-02-26T16:20:00.005-08:00

2/29: On this Leap day, issued two intraday special critical reports, so far so good, all near perfect as measured and expected. also covered xeu usd in multi very critical aspects.

following members report on Sep 23, 2011 while $spx was at 1121:
The Intermediate term bullish call was removed on Oct 27, 2011 when $spx rallied nearly 200 points from 1101 to 1292. And then $spx plunged nearly 150 points to 1158.
The Intermediate term bullish call was also reiterated on Oct 4, 2011 while $spx reached 1074 and reversed.
...

for private membership,
humblestudent777@gmail.com
ask for promotion code: CODE BLUE

AAPLE forever Top!

2012-02-15T10:15:00.000-08:00

market update - aapl
i believe aapl has done its final Top at the upper red trend channel, the Long term wave relativity have completed.
i believe that's the aaple Top forever!
my MT target is 400, and could even get there in ST if the morning special report pattern plays out.

my Long term down side target is below $100, might get there in the Intermediate term.

as bull as Barron's, as bear as humble's - Insanity prevail or time for the reality.

2012-02-13T18:37:00.000-08:00

i see patterns as a combination of summer 2011 top (prior to the Aug~Oct black swan crash), and pre-2008 financial melt down.
it's not about tomorrow or one week. time frame, velocity and confirmations are the keys. the pattern developes quite well even though market are around multi-years high.

Greece stock market up nearly 50% in exactly one month! Greece saves the world market?!
Insanity prevail or time for the reality.

Barron's Cover | SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 11, 2012 - Even by conservative measures, the Dow Jones Industrials could top 15,000 in two years. Dow 17,000 is a 50-50 bet.
http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424052748704444604577207223617121572.html#articleTabs_article%3D1

A new annual term is now available for the private membership, a discount of 3-months' fee for long term members.
contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

Taiwan; South Korea

2012-02-12T22:29:00.001-08:00

Taiwan has made Intermediate Term top.

South Korea has made Intermediate Term top with potential Long Term bearish Head and Shoulders pattern, right shoulder has formed at the brown Fibonacci fan resistance.

currently, Feb 13 is on the micro red wave ii retrace with a micro bearish rising wedge.

probability of decade top

2012-02-09T18:53:00.000-08:00

how much is the chance and when?
this is not a small one.
reviewing from the past and current price and time and patterns.
dow, nasdaq already blow off the 2011 and multi-years high. can $spx and $rut do it?
the ew counts i presented last Aug ~ late Oct was correct.
it's all about the LT iso...and super code blue...

i have a "perfect" $rut analysis chart for your consideration.

who want to join me to see the potential decade event proceeding?

i guess not BlackRock’s Fink as he Says Be 100% in Equities and 100% bullish right here. Fink is the world’s largest money manager.

and i am only a humble student.
all imho.
humblestudent777@gmail.com

$indu made a new 3.5 years high

2012-02-07T13:39:00.000-08:00

above 2011 high, it's not so called minor 2 of P2 that many bears referring to.
i never like or adopt these called P2 convention. imho, P2 is a totally wrong failed structure when prechter and ewi introduced during 2009, and will continue to be a wrong structure when market come down, and will definitely cause lots elliott wave counting and labeling problems in the coming years. it's not a long term bull market, but people amazingly wrongly stick to the wrong P2 structure for so long. i don't think prechter and ewi know how to count the elliott wave for DOW, a total P2 structure failure for them.

$indu, with intermediate term bearish divergence, not a new bull market, is on the terminating wave pattern which i updated during Aug 4 ~ Oct 27, 2011.

this pattern chart will be posted later after pattern confirmed completion with cycle. (all already updated to members). so to be fair to members.

me, no bull.

gold

2012-02-06T13:59:00.000-08:00

gold chart from Friday Feb 3:
gold turned at Fibo fan & pitch fork at MT cycle top on Feb 3.

market rally, futures are higher; but the pressure is on bulls!

2012-02-01T18:26:00.000-08:00

all due to the Code Blue scenario(not shown here).
72% probability ended with black occasion crashes and bear market.
28% probability ended with green bull market.
all details presented.

if you are a bear, having hundreds, thousands, or tens of thousands dollar of losses and not knowing what's going on, and ready to let your money go. calm down, stop a minute and check out the big technical picture.
or let me show you the details with today's market close member report.
for private membership:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

1320 Feb 1

2012-01-30T09:31:00.000-08:00

12:30 pm update:
with current volume indicator in the oversold territory, ST fear factor in the fear zone, and "Facebook May File For IPO February 1, WSJ Reports".
with the day low at the lower red pitch fork neckline, as the pattern rhythm, it's possible for $spx to bounce up to 1320's on Feb 1, or the least bounce is the mid red pitch fork.
more important is the MT rhythm pattern as shown on the charts.

and much important big picture is the perfect code blue developement of $spx and $indu as the code blue introduction in the weekend report.
details with private membership:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

13:37 pm intraday market update

2012-01-27T10:44:00.000-08:00

(limited version)

13:37 pm update:
if the brown neckline holds up (previous volume chart), $spx might move up toward the lower blue pitch fork into the close due to a ST bullish cross of the volume indicator, and then likely break down the brown neckline on next Monday.

13:00 pm update:
volume indicator has a bullish cross in the neutral territory.
$spx is trying to hold above the critical brown neckline, maybe break down on Monday.

pre-market update:
...
MT pattern rhythm well with the historical pattern.
besides the MT bearish patern, i am observing a IT & LT "code blue" pattern which is much bearish than the MT picture.

for private membership:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

market top close report

2012-01-26T15:24:00.000-08:00

13 pages.
all aspects with price and time.
patterns, waves, top pattern formation and upside price calculations for $spx, $indu, $rut.
short term and medium term price targets for $spx, $indu, $rut.
tza analyzed, and its price target issued.
...

aapl humble wave relativity

2012-01-25T16:02:00.001-08:00

outlooks are available.

i turned even more bearish at the close in all time frames.

2012-01-25T15:28:00.000-08:00

revised the MT cycle due to previous cycle low was early.
$vix also is fine.
$spx closed at 1326.06, previous high was 1322.28.

i believe 3 months's rally will be taken back in a short term time frame as presented the historical pattern rhythm in both short term and medium term.

might post some charts later, check back. or contact me w/o delay.

major market top

2012-01-24T06:21:00.000-08:00

$gold has made a wave-C top at the upper blue pitch fork with a bearish red rising wedge.

intermediate term, $spx, $rut, $indu all turned from their corresponding important IT resistances.

medium term, $spx, $rut, $indu all apparently have completed their corresponding expanding triangle diagonal structure.
the initial short term target is the lower black expanding trend line.

micro term, breaking down from the short term bearish head and shoulders pattern.

$vix also has bottomed at the blue trend line and mid red pitch fork supports with class A bullish divergence.

post housing bubble

2012-01-22T18:18:00.000-08:00

it's all about housing!
we had a housing bubble bursted during 2007 ~ 2008,
now we are on a typical post housing bubble formation.

$

many housing analysts are "call a bottom in housing".
but i see the opposite, i see a top in housing.
housing related are on strong rally last 3 months and around 3 years high.
the pattern is on a typical post bubble formation. i see the pattern rhythm with Japan's post housing bubble formation. and likely will pull down the economy and major indexes.

Jan 22 weekend report featuring complete outlook of:
cycles
$spx
$rut
$indu
$ndx
$djusfn
$vix
$usd
$dax
$stoxx
$gold
home builders

fifth wave extension

2012-01-19T14:20:00.000-08:00

look at muni, that's the next catalyst for U.S.! coming soon ...
what did Meredith Whitney say on Municipal Bonds?!

blue wave 5 is with the blue fifth wave extension, around Fibonacci 261.8% extension with the micro term green trend channel. the final move is with a red micro ending triangle diagonal with a bit of truncation. late in the day, back tested the lower wedge line twice as micro wave ii correction.
yesterday's 1290 bottom was on 261.8% extension (presented yesterday pre-market & early).
today's 1315 top is on 261.8% extension..
top vs. bottom with Fibonacci 261.8% extension.

here is the micro term.
much more on short term, medium and intermediate term on $spx, $rut, $ndx, $vix ... big pictures and top/bottom cycles, target prices. all real time updates during market hours.

ndx 60m LT expanding triangle, ew

2012-01-19T09:24:00.000-08:00

more is coming after the close...

$ndx is making a new decade high with the red LT expanding triangle, it's completing the major decade top. it's a LT red wave A-B-C correction from the Y2K all time high.
i see some people calling current rally for all major indexes as wave 2 is improper.

a lot more on $spx, $rut in all time frames, timing, cycle ...
for private membership:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

$vix non-confirmation

2012-01-17T13:48:00.000-08:00

1/18
so far, only 2 points higher than yesterday's high, and bulls are feeling invincible with high sentiments.
if a few more points higher, bulls will shout loudly of new bull market to historical high, lol.
PS. i am not a bull.

13:00 pm update:
i am looking for "much" higher price than $spx 1304 because of MT and Intermediate term most bearish impacts.

12:31 pm members update:
it's the best case scenario as previous updated ... wave b already completed, and $spx makes new recovery high above 1303.
use red trend channel as guidance.
Egan Jones downgrades Germany to AA- from AA.
...

pre-market members update:
because of the timing issue, looking for a bit lower price after the open, then a new recovery high above yesterday's 1303. ...

at day high, both $spx and $rut was at their corresponding MT red trend channel resistances.

both $spx and $rut are proceeding with the textbook pattern. (might post them later).

$vix never made a new low on today's market rally, a non-confirmation. often $vix bottomed before market top.

financials closed in the red, also a non-confirmation.
$rut only up 1 point at the close.

issued a pre-market special morning report, fully featuring current market in short term, medium term, and intermediate term.

as you can see from the charts of below post. for the whole year 2011, i never failed any medium term and intermediate term positions, both long and short positions.
humblestudent777@gmail.com

agressive medium term price target

2011-12-25T19:03:00.000-08:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

A few latest testimonials from my members on the testimonials page.
http://humblestudent777.blogspot.com/p/testimony.html

my 2011 records - all records are in the weekend reports and market updates:
All my weekend reports /special reports / market updates called and locked all 2011 medium term swing highs and lows within 1 ~ 2 days, or exact at the turns!

one example:
<< precisely - $spx 1220 on Sep 16
perfect prediction made 12 days ago - both price and time!!!
Labor Day special offer Target was $spx 1220 on Sep 16, or refund.
the special offer was made during the Labor day weekend (Sep 3 ~ 5).
while future was about at 1140 during the LAbor Day holiday
http://humblestudent777.blogspot.com/2011/09/precisely-spx-1220-on-sep-16.html
>>

cheers!

conditional membership trial - only good for Dec 22 & Dec 23

2011-12-22T10:40:00.001-08:00

this conditional membership trial only good for members join on Dec 22 & Dec 23.

higher market, lower $vix - all perfect & expected, all perfectly analyzed and presented according to plan, updated to members the last couple of days before Dec 20's big rally.

today, i show members my plan of specifically when and specifically what price to enter a position.

if you really are interested in my service.
i can let you try today and tomorrow.
but you have to pay first.
if you are not satisfy with my market updates for today and tomorrow, i can refund you (less paypal charge processing fee, which is not for me).
after tomorrow, there will be no refund under any circumstance.
that's the best i can do for a trial, which i never offer in the past.
i am confident on my market updates that you will be satisfied.
thanks

contracting triangle correction

2011-12-21T12:53:00.000-08:00

tells right at the day bottom at the turn, as expected exactly in pre-market update.
two of 20 intraday real time market updates.
covered $spx, $vix, volume analysis ...
bigger picture also covered with roadmap.
for private membership:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

the roadmap

2011-12-20T13:39:00.000-08:00

so far so good, it's perfectly planned, both time and price, structure.
i am seeing market going forward should also follow the planned roadmap, both time and price.

today's high is at 61.8% retrace along the upper green pitch fork line.

$spx has bottomed around the 61.8% retrace at yesterday's low of 1202.
yesterday's bottom was the Fibonacci 55th cycle day from Oct 4's 1074 bottom, a bottom to bottom cycle.

i also planned the next medium term cycle top and its upside price target in the roadmap, so far so good with confirmation of today's huge rally.

for private membership,
humblestudent777@gmail.com

PS. on Dec 13, i posted a special deal.
that special deal is a guarantee. people signed up for the deal will get a full refund if $spx passes above 1267 for the rest of the year.
the Dec 13 post of the special deal:
<<
no financial service in the world can do guarantee.
i am confident on my analysis, so that i provide this guarantee that $spx will not close above 1267 at end of the day for the rest of year 2011, otherwise i refund you.
this offer is good till 16:00 pm ET 12/15.
>>

PPS. all those special deal members know what's coming per my roadmap, and won't be surprised by today's huge rally. i make it very clear of my upside target on both price and time.
but a guarantee is a guarantee, they will have full refund if above 1267. hence the service become a free trial for them.

real time update of 1237.5 top of today; Also yesterday's update: up into cycle top with target price and time of ...

2011-12-20T09:02:00.000-08:00

are there more upside? updated to members.
today's huge rally was expected. details of the structure, price and time target, elliott wave, $usd, $vix and volume analysis updated to members.
the overall design is in the weekend report.

for private paid membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

Dec 20: real time member update with today's $spx top at 1237.5:

Dec 19 market close update - was looking for market up with price and time target of ...

from 12/14 night ($spx at 1209) & 12/15 morning special report

2011-12-16T14:03:00.001-08:00

12/14 night when $spx was at 1209: was looking for higher market from $spx 1209, into cycle turn date, with the upside price target of ...

bsc is a medium call, a process, as i issued to members at the intiation date on Dec 5 at $spx 1266.

i initaited the black swan crash call on Jul 22, 2011 at $spx 1247 with a member comprehensive market report in details.
http://humblestudent777.blogspot.com/2011/07/crash-feasibility-study-post.html

on Dec 6 when $spx topped at 1266, i initiated the 2nd medium term black swan crash call, and it's proceeding well. will take many more weeks or even months to complete.
i will issue more details in this coming weekend report in all aspects, including when could be the center of the storm, and what happened to $vix, $usd, European stock market, Gold ...

the 2008 black swan crash started on Aug 11, 2008 at $spx 1311 high, ended on Oct 10, 2008 (or Oct 27) at $spx 839. a medium term two months process.
2008 Oct bsc also was a process, a medium call, and lasted for many weeks or months.

Humble swan 2-side blade system, and 3 different cycles, and stress analysis

2011-12-11T15:31:00.000-08:00

private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

potential black swan crash issued

2011-12-05T14:04:00.000-08:00

today's top was completed with a short term expanding diagonal triangle at 1266 high.
today, i issued a potential black swan crash, similar to the one i issued on Jul 22, which resulted in 250 $spx points crash.
this is the second time of the blog history that i issued a "potential black swan crash".
please let me know if you are interested in joining humble membership to follow me on walking through the process of the potential black swan crash developement.
for membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

Humble market status

2011-11-28T13:43:00.001-08:00

my next ST downside target is xxxx

Have a nice Thanksgiving!

2011-11-23T13:40:00.000-08:00

for paid private membership Thanksgiving special discount, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com
be early on this Thanksgiving "shopping" special, first 10 will have bigger discount!!!
door open now!!!

thanks for the support!

these are intraday small stuff, better are precise roadmap of medium term and big picture. cover with precise patterns, and price target, time...

another flat a-b-c correction, after yesterday's running flat a-b-c correction on the one thread below. with the correction, the channel open wider for deeper plunges(crash).

my own developed current crash system now is much more advance than during May 2010.
it's all logical in details: on Nov 15 2011, i predicted and presented (in details)a potential crash since $spx 1264. now has 100+ $spx points advantage. details covered to members.

crash line presented:
ONLY (a must criteria) $spx pass below the red crash line will the market crash.
and firmly pass below the red crash line will very most likely (nearly a MUST) have the crash. my work says same method validated majority of past crashes (including the flash crash that i successfully predicted).

GS defining moment

2011-11-23T08:41:00.000-08:00

i had this chart posted since the beginning of year 2011, never changed a thing!
the downside target price is the lower brown Fibonacci fan line, it's out of scope from this chart.

what's going on? read my posts on the blog on Nov 15.

how is the market going? progressing well, all under "control" to the exact point (with perfect roadmap daily since Nov 15, followed & updated closely daily intraday) since Nov 15 issued. for details, well, email me.

one of 20+ short term intraday updates from yesterday:

alternation of triangles - expanding vs. contracting triangle

2011-11-21T13:42:00.001-08:00

i can send 4~5 today's intraday real time updates samples for people are interested in joining the paid private membership today.

3:47 pm ET real time update, one of the 20 real time market update of the day.
featuring humble swan 2-side blade 4th order.

real time market updates cover Micro term, Short term, Medium term, Intermediate term.
for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

after notifying members of the potential crash at $spx 1264 on Nov 15, now have 80 $spx points advantage.

line of trigger, D-day, downside price target, and invalidation (insurance) criteria.

2011-11-20T17:07:00.000-08:00

Nov 21 10 am ET: $spx plunged to 1190.
is it done? is it too late? with my roadmap, i can free your mind, both bulls and bears. ask me!

for private membership service, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

will i be 3 for 3 for the prediction?

2011-11-16T14:00:00.000-08:00

for non-member, following two reports are available for a fee:
humblestudent membership Nov 16 humble swan 2-side blade potential crash report
Friday Nov 18 market close update

public blog posts are only for education and entertainment, as in the disclaimer.
private membership market updates and reports reflect my real time views and analysis of the market.

i may completely change my views at any time without noticing this public blog, DO NOT use public blog post information for your trading, as they might not reflect my latest market views.

risk of following public posting: after been very bullish Aug 27, 2010 at $spx 1040, i turned to look for a crash in Oct 2010, and the attemp got invalidated, and later i turned to bullish trades. i did not reveal on the public blog when the projected crash got 2-side blades and turned to the bullish trades. that's the risk of following public delayed, entertaining and education information.
but certainly i will reveal all the details and views in real time to my private members.

potential crash forecasted Tuesday Nov 15, 2011 of yesterday.
how? in great details and extensive real time covers, open my secrets for methodologies that can apply again and again.
when?
and how much? price target.
and what's the criteria for invalidation.
for paid private membership (very small fees for what is coming), contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com
anybody is welcome to join the membership.

PS. until now, i stayed majority on the bullish side since $spx 1100. with some short term downside plays - eg down from 1292 to 1215 ... and some.

get ready ...

2011-11-15T18:14:00.000-08:00

late afternoon, i send out a message, which is the most important one for more than 3 months.
issued a special report.
extremely important - you won't regret after you see this report!!!

humblestudent777@gmail.com

today's market sell off

2011-11-14T13:58:00.000-08:00

expected and posted in the members market close update on last Friday.

the most popular ew out there is a triangle (almost every ewaver). but i do not see it as a triangle, detailed in the weekend report.
i see too easy as a triangle to fade most people.

my view for tomorrow Nov 15 is provided to members at the market close with many supporting analysis and charts.
market big picture and medium, intermediate term analysis also provided.
for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

featuring the forecast of SPY humble swan 2-side blade 4th order on a up and down trading range whipsaw day.

2011-11-10T14:55:00.000-08:00

today's rally was expected and updated to member on yesterday.

featuring the forecast of SPY humble swan 2-side blade 4th order on a up and down trading range whipsaw day - all near perfect forecast!

humblestudent777@gmail.ocm

What a day! A special member market roadmap comprehensive report issued.

2011-11-09T14:01:00.000-08:00

Apple is getting close to the defining moment.

humblestudent Nov 9, 2011 market Structure, Elliott wave, Timing Roadmap report

the roadmap covers
1). $spx big picture, medium term picture, structures, Elliott wave (one and only one primary detailed ew counts w/o alternate, with forecast roadmap).
2). timing.
3). Intermediate term price target.
4). Medium term price targets roadmap.
5). tza structure and Elliott wave.
6). $vix structure and Elliott wave.
7). trend channels.
8). volume analysis and expectation.
9). fear factor.

to subscribe private membership, contact
humblestudent777@gmail.com

Nov 9 pre market members update

2011-11-09T06:23:00.001-08:00

at yesterday's market close update:
<<
i see market rally could take a pause around here.
>>

i also mentioned several times since 11:41:PDT (14:41 ET)
<<
11:41 am PDT
market update - $vix
as earlier morning updated, the lower red trend channel line could be the next target for $vix.
i see when $vix gets to around the red line, then could be the next short term upside target for $spx.

11:51 am PDT
market update
at 1273, $spx at the upper ... channel resistance.
i do not see $spx can go much higher from this level for the remaining of the day...
>>

at 1277.5, $spx takes a pause due to the following technicals:
1). ... is a nature resting spot.

2). confluence (pink circle) of the upper green and upper brown pitch forks,
it's close enough for a Short Term upside target.

3). at upper ... channel resistance.

4). $vix is at the lower red trend channel line support.

...

less charts.

market highlights

2011-11-08T13:30:00.000-08:00

for bargain paid private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

day trend, short term, medium term, intermediate term all perfect as expectations and updated to members.
can you do better than that? or join for better profits.

XXXX black swan crash status: well.

historical graphical archived log

2011-11-08T04:28:00.000-08:00

someone mentioned archived log, i digged some old graphical archived log.

http://humblestudent777.blogspot.com/2011/09/after-black-red-green.html

have not got a chance to update since then, maybe will find time to update a new highlighted major swing turns after that last date.
all highlighted swing turns on this graphical archived log can be proved with record.

last night someone bought the latest XXXX black swan crash report alone, without join the membership.
it's for sale of $55 if you need a copy.
it's just one chart with annotation and a single paragraph.
and it's working, so far so good.

all my weekend reports have market predicting nature.
my latest weekend report and many previous weeks' weekend reports are working 100% perfectly on predicting the medium term market swings and volatilities on both up and down.
latest weekend report also is for sale, the report has my full analysis for $spx, medium term and intermediate term. also $USD...
humblestudent777@gmail.com

some short term real time intraday market updates stuff at earlier day high and day low

2011-11-07T13:33:00.000-08:00

after hour market action further support my view of popular held & traded XXX will crash very soon, as i sent a special after hour update to members - it's a perfect match of the previous black swan crash!

even though "something" run up a bit, i still do mean by "something" potentially will have a black swan crash as detailed presented in the member weekend report. "something" is at the same status when $spx had one last run and was at 1347 high on Jul 22, where i posted black swan crash report on the blog.
http://humblestudent777.blogspot.com/2011/07/crash-feasibility-study-post.html
when this "something" crashes, all assets will be greatly impacted. and i guess you can either greatly profit from it or heavily hurt by it, depends on your position direction. certainly i won't say publicly about what is "something", because it won't be fair to my members.

to subscribe paid private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com
for the first time, free past sample available.

today's real time intraday market updates got both market earlier day high and market day low.
those are short term stuff for changes, my strength is on the medium term and intermediate term.

for tomorrow:
bears had a chance after broke the neckline (mid blue pitch fork), but could not persist.
now SPY broke out of the upper blue pitch fork resistance. now the pressure is on bears.
if tomorrow comes with a pull back, i expect SPY pull back to back test the upper blue pitch fork line.

predicting nature - potential "something" black swan crash is coming

2011-11-06T15:44:00.000-08:00

using the same method and analysis as when i predicted the stock market black swan crash on Jul 22, 2011 weekend report. (the record is on the blog, check it out).

"something" is likely to come with a black swan crash in the near term.
and "something" will impact the entire investment world in a big ay.
what is "something"?
do not invest or trade without knowing the name of 'something".
a small fee can make you big $$$ on the whole investment or trading.
for details, paid private membership:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

forecast for next week - made at mid day while market was near the low.

2011-11-04T14:07:00.000-07:00

for private paid membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

as posted yesterday, market yesterday closed at multiple resistances and with setup for today's early plunge.

mid day 12:35 pm ET market update -
i am forecasting a rally late in the day or next Monday.
SPY could close near the open gap, and ready for a potential bullish island reversal on next Monday.

the real time market update of forecast was made not far from the market low, forecast with one more green "e" down, then the rally, and to rally above yesterday's high of 1263 on next Monday.
my strength is even more with medium term analysis.

PS. reply to Chartrambler's comments:
all the time, i made it very clear to my members as where the market goes in terms of short term, medium term, and intermediate term.
i think you are confused because you only read public information piece here and piece there without elaboration.
as you can see, all my calls (both sides)are as good as you can have a small fee to buy the first hand, complete details w/o any delay, and hence make good money.
join, and i will show you the complete picture, no ambiguity at all.

PS. the charts told me "Greek PM will win confidence votes", and i don't need to wait for a few hours later to see the actual vote, and to wait would be too late for market action.
i believe technical charts lead the news, not the other way around! all the time, all the same!

week review: technical forecast of the plunge of 1285 ~ 1215

2011-11-04T11:33:00.000-07:00

Oct 30 weekend report forecast $spx to plunge from 1285 to 1215 at pitch fork supports, then forecast the rally after the plunge.
perfect forecast!

$USD and $spx

2011-11-03T14:07:00.001-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

the definition of saving money:
for a small fee, you can make much more and save much more than those so-so paid or free services.

all proceeding perfectly well since Oct 4 $spx 1074 bottom.
all proceeding perfectly well since $spx 1292 high toward 1215 low.
perfectly well since $spx 1215 low.

secret revealed:
perfect correlation of $USD and $spx for all the major tops and bottoms - you can make perfect money out of this chart!
the Elliott wave counts of $spx and $USD rhythm well. it's all different than ALL those bull or bear counts out there (i checked).

i think i have a lot more "secrets" than you can think of. :)

AAPL, UBS, JPM

2011-11-02T13:54:00.000-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com
join now, i will detailed analyze any one stock at your choice.

the pull back from $spx 1292 to 1215 is exactly as my expectation and updated to members prior to the market moves.
today's rally also is exactly as expected from yesterday's real time updates.
(all time stamped prove available).

going forward, i have clearly express my view with detailed analysis.

right in the money

2011-11-01T13:54:00.000-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

all technicals and price expectations are exactly as the roadmap as in the Oct 30 weekend report.
going forward, i expect the same as in the report.

PS. i am not looking for lower low tomorrow, i am looking for an up market tomorrow. detailed analysis presented to members, along with the big picture and Medium Term moves.

typical wave 3 down day as expected

2011-10-31T13:48:00.001-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

i turned bearish since $spx 1292 high on Oct 27 & 28 on my market updates and weekend report. details and precise roadmap presented to private members.

Oct closed as the biggest monthly percentage gain since year 1987.
my updates and reports are in the right expectation of the market direction during the past 5 straight up weeks.

humble reverse black swan member report

2011-10-27T05:55:00.000-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

My three aspects view of $spx ...

1. Humble swan two-sides-blade system.
2. Short term fear factor.
3. Elliott wave structure.

some charts from intraday real time updates

2011-10-26T13:37:00.000-07:00

plus short term and medium term updates.
for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

from yesterday market close update:
<< both volume indicator and ST fear factor have a potential bullish set up for as soon as tomorrow.
my "guess" is market rally tomorrow.
>>

one question about some bears' 78.6% retrace target for wave 2 of P3 for $spx:
the wave 2 retrace for P1 during year 2008 is less than 61.8%,
P3 is supposed to be a killer wave, and should wave 2 of P3 retrace be higher and stronger than P1's wave 2 retrace?
i believe the usual impression is P3 should be much more powerful than P1, and P3 retrace should be weaker than P1's retrace.
unless current P3 assumption is totally wrong (again)? something to think about.
i believe i have the answer, and it's not a new bull market as some bulls' wrong wish (again).

precision intraday reading, real time updates

2011-10-25T13:41:00.000-07:00

plus short term and medium term updates.
for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

$spx strongly rejected at the Super Cycle trend line, dated from year 1938.
using $ndx, i see the market is not in the process of minor wave 2 retrace as many bears' perspective. i see it's something bigger.

$ndx, $indu, $spx

2011-10-25T06:28:00.000-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

using $ndx, i see the market is not in the process of minor wave 2 retrace as many bears' perspective. $ndx already retraced 88% from Jul high, only 1 ~ 2 sessions away from making new 2011 high, also will be new decade high. it's a must stop level for bears.

$indu is very near 200 day moving average, often is a nature resistance after previous market broke down. i see market could be pulling back from here.

$spx is around the Super Cycle trend line which origin from year 1938.

wave C kick off day

2011-10-21T13:33:00.000-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmal.com

all as expected and real time updated at yesterday's low at $spx 1197.
this wave-C is very different than most bloggers' wave-C out there.
it's all about the big picture of the market structure, which has been proven working during the past history.

green and red Short term trading signal

2011-10-20T06:06:00.000-07:00

for private membership:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

for the past 3 days, the (green) and (red) provide a good Short term buy and sell signal.
today, pay attention to if there is a green bullish cross above red for a ST buy signal.

medium term and big picture analysis also provided to members.
several systematic tools also provided for short term trades reference - very high short term successful rate.

Oct 19 market close update:
even though there is a confirmed ST down trend,
but i "feel" bullish if $spx can not firmly take out day low at 1206 of the 61.8% retrace.
if $spx firmly breaks above the ST blue down trend channel, will be an early warning sign of ST trend change to up, and could challenge yesterday's high of 1233.

$vix is at the 89 bar (black curve) resistance, which is good for $spx rally.

volume indicator could be setting up a bullish cross from the bottom territory sometime tomorrow.

breadth indicators show selling power nearly exhausted all the power as red dashed lines are near their extreme.

XXXX is positive on a market down, which is bullish divergence.
opposite to Oct 18's bearish divergence which i had concern on Oct 18's rally.

is above $spx 1370 a bluff?

2011-10-14T17:58:00.000-07:00

looks like most people are into the "bull bus" and just starting to come up with some bullish fancy stuff, both bulls and-bears, even some so called perma-bears.
the "real" sentiment is a completely 180 degree than just one week ago when most people are in the "bear bus". "feel" the real sentiment!
so is it time to ...?

"long way up to surprise everybody"? or it's a bluff?
i am going to present to members an "alternate" that this rally is going to be ended very very very very soon and for good, and never come back up.
two completely opposite options. which one is "my real feeling"? join membership to know the details.
humblestudent777@gmail.com

the greater than 1370 offer still is good. but is it a bluff? i do not mind if you take advantage before the offer expires:
Oct 10 private membership special offer - prediction of $spx to make new high above 1370:
http://humblestudent777.blogspot.com/2011/10/oct-10-membership-special-offer_10.html

Oct 13 intra market update & market close update

2011-10-14T05:44:00.000-07:00

Oct 13 pre-market

2011-10-13T06:00:00.001-07:00

pre-market update & some real time updates from yesterday

2011-10-12T06:15:00.000-07:00

for private membership service, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com
ask for Oct 10 special offer if you wish.

yesterday was a positive volume consolidation day.
i am looking for a market rally day today as volume is ready for a bullish cross as updated yesterday. and the rally should not be too small as yesterday's resistances are ready to be taken out to the upside.

from yesterday:
"volume indicator is setting up a bullish cross from the low level, maybe tomorrow.
$spx whipsawing around the flat line (400 bar) is a way to relieve the overbought (green bars) status of volume, and set the next stage of potential rally."

some of the following messages were masked out.

Oct 10 private membership special offer - prediction of $spx to make new high above 1370:

2011-10-10T03:14:00.002-07:00

this special offer needs to sign up prior to 23:59 pm ET, Oct 16, 2011.

I will show you the structure, pattern, and Elliott wave, ... for this potential coming new high.

if $spx does not trade above 1370 before the special membership term duration, I will refund you the membershship fee, hence become a free trial.

at my own discretion, I reverseve the right to terminate the special membership anytime, and will refund the membership fee to you.

or with confidence, you can save and join as a regular member without above special limitation.

for details, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

previous special offer record:
http://humblestudent777.blogspot.com/2011/09/precisely-spx-1220-on-sep-16.html

$rut tza SR

2011-10-07T13:52:00.000-07:00

humblestudent777@gmail.com

Steven Paul Jobs, 1955-2011

2011-10-06T01:56:00.001-07:00

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB20001424052702304447804576410753210811910.html

$rut 2011 bottom at 601 on Oct 4, 10:00 am ET

2011-10-06T00:58:00.000-07:00

humblestudent777@gmail.com

Oct 4: "$rut is trading around the lower MT blue trend channel."
now Oct 5 high at 661, 10% higher than 601 bottom.

there is a potential Humble swan two-sides-blade 4th order (the least order) developement.
if breaks out of the c-e line, $spx will have a strong rally.
previously $spx had a 2nd order b-d line broke down of black swan crash.
here $spx has a c-e line broke out, and having a strong rally, which is opposite to previous 2nd order crash.

$spx 1140 day low support

2011-09-29T13:23:00.000-07:00

real time reported both day high resistance and day low support to private members.

humblestudent777@gmail.com

more real time market calls are extensively proceeding as the market is very volatile on both sides.

2011-09-29T08:37:00.000-07:00

Medium term and Intermediate term analysis and views are also presented to members.

for private membership:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

Sep 29 prior to 10 am ET: $spx 1175 is the tough resistance for the day (RT reported to members)

2011-09-29T08:14:00.001-07:00

market strongly pulled back from the reported 1175 double resistances.

from Sep 28 market close

2011-09-29T06:29:00.001-07:00

for private membership:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

market close - potential wave A-B-C correction at lower black pitch fork, also neat 61.8% retrace .
...

blue zone line resistance, and upper brown pitch fork resistance.

2011-09-28T13:50:00.001-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

Tuesday Sep 27:
yesterday near the day high, real time reported to members several times of the double resistances, at $spx 1193 ~ 1195:
blue zone line resistance, and upper brown pitch fork resistance.
"the resistance for the day".

recent supports and resistances, and ST, MT, IT trend trading

2011-09-27T13:28:00.001-07:00

PS. i have been updating members for quite a while of the importance of $spx 1100.
detailed analysis in many aspects (presented to members) shows if 1100 breaks down, it will not be just a so called wave [5] down, it will be a crash. and not just a regular crash, will be a Great Crash. will it come? i provided my view and analysis to members.
to be specific. if 1100 breaks down, the pattern will be the same as 1929 Great crash. i already detailed the analysis in many aspects since many weeks ago and presented to members. this case is not about supports or resistances, it's about big picture patterns and other aspects.
will it come? might be and might be not. i specify my preference and view about this case to members, and what to look for as warning signs.

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

all the recent market actions are as expected and as i real time extensively updated to members. including $USD, OIL, $SPX, $INDU, $RUT and lots indicators and patterns.
i also clearly issue my upside target for this round of market moves as a whole.
also define the ways to trade Short term, Medium term, Intermediate term.

bottoming process trend channels ($spx, $indu, $rut)

2011-09-26T21:39:00.001-07:00

Sep 27:
all the recent market actions are as expected and as i real time extensively updated to members. including $USD, OIL, $SPX, $INDU, $RUT and lots indicators and patterns.
i also clearly issue my upside target for this round of market moves as a whole.

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

Sep 25, 2011 weekend report coverages, 21 pages:

2011-09-25T09:55:00.000-07:00

released to private members.
for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

Sep 25, 2011 weekend report coverages, 21 pages:

Big Picture of calls:
ST trend guidance:
MT trend guidance:
IT trend guidance:
Long Term cycle:
MT blue trend channels of major indexes:
MT brown pitch fork of major indexes:
Indicators:
$USD:
$Gold - Layered supports and resistances:
Risk management:
GS, Goldman Sachs:
Greece:

reported "confirmed 4th order broke down plunge" & "a confirmed short term trend change to down".

2011-09-22T13:54:00.000-07:00

Sep 22 market presented an extremely important intermedaite and long term two-sides blade transition. details presented to private members.
for membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

following reported to private members on Sep 20. that was when $spx at 1220's.

supports

2011-09-20T08:35:00.000-07:00

humblestudent777@gmail.com

yesterday, Monday Sep 19, real time updated and explained to members with the supports near the low at ($spx 1190, $rut 695). also provided my views and analysis of Medium Term.
those updates and reports could save $$$ or make $$$. how much does it worth a trader's $$$?
as i extensively updating members this morning, a very very critical medium term developement is coming up. don't be late!

Trend Channels

2011-09-19T10:34:00.001-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

these are just short term volatilities, more important is the higher orders (degrees) of the proprietary humble swan two-sides-blade system that presented to members in the weekend report.

after the black - red & green

2011-09-17T10:56:00.000-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

what's next? i believe so ...!!!
comprehensive weekend report!

humble swan two-sides-blade system.

precisely - $spx 1220 on Sep 16

2011-09-16T08:17:00.000-07:00

perfect prediction made 12 days ago - both price and time!!!
for membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

Labor Day special offer Target was $spx 1220 on Sep 16, or refund.
the special offer was made during the Labor day weekend (Sep 3 ~ 5).
while future was about at 1140 during the LAbor Day holiday.

what's next?
it's all about technicals analysis on both price and time.

***********
one intraday real time member update example, updated at $spx 1204's day low at 11:03 am ET:

NFLX crash ~ so cruel you expanding triangle diagonal

2011-09-15T21:39:00.000-07:00

i posted this chart on the stockcharts public list throughout Jul. (stockcharts discontinued due to few people voted).
this is the same pattern as flash crash.
for education purpose ~ when you see a stock with expanding triangle diagonal, most likely a crash or deep plunge is coming.
if you see something similar, but not sure. you can ask me, i am comfortably an expert on this so-called "rare" pattern.

member market close update (portion) - featuring expanded (irreguar) flat vs running flat

2011-09-15T13:35:00.000-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

all real time intraday extensive updated to members.

yesterday $spx breaking above both the brown pitch fork and the blue Fibonacci fan resistances.
if consistently staying above this critical resistances, could become short term quite bullish with the next upper Fibonacci fan line as target.
also late yesterday's pulleded back from 1202 initial short term target was to back test the pitch fork & Fibonacci fan broke-out lines

the pulled back of the recent weakest $indu exactly back tested the upper pitch fork line at yesterday's late day pull back.

early today, $spx gapped open, hit exactly from the blue zone line resistance then retreated. the early pulled back was a running flat correction.
yesterday $spx had a wave a-b-c expanded (irregular) flat correction, completed at the lower level black broke-out trend line.
today $spx have a wave a-b-c running flat correction exactly at the upper level black broke-out trend line.
a running flat correction is wave-c stays above wave-a,
while a expanded (irregular) flat is wave-c stays below wave-a.
often running flat signal strong market ahead.

also both $rut and $compq early pulled back at 11:00 am ET was perfectly back tested the pitch fork broke-out line. tza was trying to hold the lower green pitch fork support.

$spx was trading around the blue zone line most of the day.

presented two-sides-blade of the XXXXX pattern. the pattern works perfectly, and broke out. then back tested a bit, and resume higher. at 15:00 ET at $spx 1209 high, back tested twice and charging higher, closed at the high of the day, near the upper blue line of the micro 5m expanding triangle.
i discovered or invented this pattern.

i see today's intraday move all perfect, either with textbook or my own pattern style.

$spx 1200 short term target reached! issued at 1136 low on Sep 12

2011-09-14T13:56:00.001-07:00

for private membership, contact:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

i reported to members: day trend, short term, medium term, intermediate term views. also critical long term technicals, and various cycles, indicators. most important, plenty of critical patterns i observed or discovered that not seen anywhere else. for example black swan crash, three peaks and domed house, two-sides-blade system ...

Sep 14 portion of members intraday real time updates (key portion not included):

two days ago when $spx reached 1136 low, i updated with:
"Sep 12: double bottom with potential ST upside 1200+-."
we reached the short term target in a little over two days!

tza: for the last 2 days, since the rejection at the mid green pitch fork, i have been updating many times of the target at lower green pitch fork line. now the target reached!
all perfect!

following is the snapshot of the real time call from Sep 12 at $spx 1136 to members:

The Power of Half

2011-09-10T13:33:00.000-07:00

book:
The Power of Half: One Family's Decision to Stop Taking and Start Giving Back

Product Description
It all started when 14-year old Hannah Salwen, idealistic but troubled by a growing sense of injustice in the world, had a eureka moment when a homeless man in her neighborhood was juxtaposed against a glistening Mercedes coupe. "You know, Dad," she said, pointing, "If that man had a less nice car, that man there could have a meal."
This glaring disparity led the Salwen family of four, caught up like so many other Americans in this age of consumption and waste, to follow Hannah's urge to do something, to finally just do something. And so they embarked on an incredible journey together from which there would be no turning back. They decided to sell their Atlanta mansion, downsize to a house half its size, and give half of their profits to a worthy charity. At first it was an outlandish scheme. "What, are you crazy? No way!" Then it was a challenge. "We are TOTALLY doing this." Each week they met over dinner to discuss their plan. It would transport them across the globe and well out of their comfort zone. Along the way they would inspire so many others wrestling with the same questions: Do I give enough? How much is enough? How can I make an impact in the world? In the end the Salwens' journey would bring them closer as a family, as they discovered, together, that half could be so much more.

Warm, funny, deeply moving and wholly uplifting, The Power of Half is the story of how one family slammed the door on the status quo and threw away the key.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Amazon Exclusive: A Letter from Author Kevin Salwen

Dear Amazon Readers,

What does "living well" mean? By traditional standards, our family was there--nice cars, expensive vacations, dream house, fancy stuff in it. It took a fourteen-year-old to make us take a second look.
That teenager, as you probably know from glancing at the book description above, is Hannah (now seventeen). As she and I waited at a stoplight just a few blocks from our home, Hannah's head swiveled between a homeless man and a pricey new car. As she wrote in her journal later: "Driving past the homeless man that one time changed my life. I felt sad, like I wanted to help him, but angry, really angry. At myself mainly. Thinking there was so much I could do for this man and for a lot of the poor people in this world considering I had so much."

Now, Hannah is not one to keep emotions to herself. She brought that anger back to our family's dinner table, challenging us to "be a family that makes a difference in the world, even if it's a small difference."

My wife, Joan, and I defended ourselves: We volunteer for Habitat and work at the food bank.

Hannah stared, unimpressed.

Joan and I described the checks we wrote to charities each December.

Hannah rolled her eyes.

Finally, Joan decided to challenge back: "What do you want to do, sell our house? Move into one half the size? Give up your room?"

That opening series of questions launched our family on an audacious project that we chronicle in The Power of Half. How we decided to sell our house. How we chose to invest the proceeds. Our travels to the places where we decided to work. Along the way, we tried to figure out how much was the right amount to give to charity, both in time and money (the average American gives 2.1 percent of income). We learned about extreme giving (50 percent, anyone?) by average people and about new programs popping up to teach kids about sharing and spending.

But if that were the whole story, I doubt we would have written this book. Joan and I began to realize that our "Half" project was transforming our family--heightening our trust in one another, empowering our kids, building a deeper connection. Because we, as the parents, shared influence and listened in a new way to our kids, our project to make the world a little better was making the chemistry between us a lot better. In other words, we had traded some stuff for togetherness--and I bet a lot of folks would take that deal.

So Hannah and I are hoping that our book can inspire you to create your own "Half" project. We don't expect you to sell your house, of course (that's nuts!), just to look at your life to determine what you have more than enough of. It could be time; it could be belongings. Depending on what issue you care about, you can brainstorm creatively what you can live with half of. (One example: If fighting drug addiction is your passion, you could give up half of the cups of caffeine-laced coffee and cola you drink.) By following the road map in the book, you can build your own project, and in turn create deeper bonds among your family, community, any group you choose. Oh, and of course make the world a little better at the same time.

That's our definition of living well now.

Kevin Salwen

Magic Pitch Forks - latest sample of update available upon inquiry of membership

2011-09-09T16:08:00.000-07:00

i have been using pitch forks for many years, one of my favorite tools. i am comfortable to say i am an expert in using pitch forks.

what's next?
humblestudent777@gmail.com
the 50% membership fee discount is for limited time only.

Sep 8 pre-market update

2011-09-08T14:38:00.001-07:00

for membership:
humblestudent777@gmail.com

my anticipated pull back from 1200+- resistances as notified members during early morning pre-market.
27 real time intraday updates for Sep 8. including one update analyzing bernanke's speech today.

i am correct about the 1140's bottom.
i am correct about the rally from 1140 to 1200+.
i am correct about today's pull back.
i issued my medium and intermediate term analysis and views to members.

promotional membership

2011-09-07T19:19:00.000-07:00

humblestudent777@gmail.com

50% discount promotional membership fee is for limited time. it will be full price after the promotion terminated.

my short term update is always analyzing the market, and provide real time intraday 10 or more updates per day.

i keep my precise and clear medium term and intermediate term analysis for members.

i also send out weekend comprehensive report and sometimes special report on timely pertinent trading issues to benefit members.

market and trading analysis can be use as intermediate multi-weeks, multi-months position tradings, and/ or multi-days swing tradings, and/or day tradings.

The Labor Day special offer reveal & market close report

2011-09-07T13:32:00.000-07:00

humblestudent777@gmail.com
humblestudent777@gmail.com
i issued a special morning report during pre-market Sep 6 (at $spx indication of 1140's), it's a bullish report.
the refund policy is if $spx can not make to 1220 by Sep XX, then i will have a full refund for special trial members. even more, the membership fee is 50% of regular's.
for new members join during the Labor Day weekend, should already bought the 1140's (or covered shorts) bottom on Sep 6 as i extensively real time reported and updated to them. (many of them did as i know). you can calculate how much you can make or save if know my "bottom line". it's much much more than the small fee.
now $spx near 1199, with two days gain of about 60 $spx points!!!
but even if $spx get to 1220 target and time is later than my target date, then i will still have full refund for them, and become a free trial for them. what a deal for the first time ever! it's a bad deal for me, but a good deal for members tried. i will try to avoid such a bad deal for me in the future. Labor, Labor, Labor, the key word!!!
i also reported to members my medium term and intermediate term view.
will 1220 stop the rally? or how much more? check with me.

humblestudent membership Sep 7, 2011 market close report

$spx, $indu, $rut, $compq all have confirmed bullish island reversal.
it's a "strong short term bullish signal" .
SPY open above the red line as bullish island reversal confirmation.

as updated yesterday, $spx break above the upper red falling wedge line, and then successfully back tested line, and then move higher.
that already is a short term bullish signal.

$spx XXXX pattern proceeding well, as sucessfully tested the validation e-line.

on the $spx 1m chart, after $spx successfully tested the validation e-line at the mid brown pitch fork,
it could be moving toward the upper brown pitch fork.
which is around XXXX, in line with previous updated upper Keltner channel line around XXXX.

Keltner channel : $spx, if consistantly staying above the mid Keltner channel, could push toward the upper channel line, around XXXX.

in short term, as TZA (3X $rut bear) is having a bearish island reversal,
could be moving toward the blue circled St support at the lower green pitch fork line, and also is the upper brown Fibo fan line.

Volume indicator points to potentially not a one day event due to strong kick-off up volume.
Even if there is a micro term pull back, the trend still is up due to volume indicator.
My observation is: often with such a strong up volume activities, the up move won't be a one day event.

ST fear factor is in the XXXX zone.

pre-market update - potential bullish island reversal

2011-09-07T06:12:00.000-07:00

humblestudent777@gmail.com

currently $spx future is about 16 points above fair value.
SPY is trading at 118.6 at 9:00 am ET pre-market, potentially to have an open with:
"strong short term bullish signal" with island reversal.
SPY open above the red line will be a bullish island reversal.

market close report - ... pattern validation e-line special report and morning special report

2011-09-06T13:21:00.000-07:00

humblestudent777@gmail.com
some highlights of today's market close special pattern validation e-line report, portion of closer look:

some highlights of today's member real time updates at intra market "turns":

... pattern validation e-line works well at supports for all major indexes - $spx, $indu, $rut, $compq, $wlsh, $vix, spy.
all pitch fork supports for all major indexes all are perfect, short term cycle works well too.

the morning special report as well as this market close validation e-line special report works perfect, as all detailed in the big picture and closer look of all major indexes in the report.

two special reports for the day!

reports presented patterns all are my original discorvery or invention, you can not find them anywhere! all working good!

Labor Day weekend humble membership special offer - offer expires noon ET Labor Day (Sep 5).

2011-09-02T21:33:00.000-07:00

currently $spx is at 1170, in the middle of recent top 1230 and recent bottom 1100.
it will either get toward 1100+-10 or 1230+-10 in the next 10 trading days.

it would be nearly 5% with 1X ETF, nearly 10% with 2X EFT, nearly 15% with 3X ETF. you can calculate the profit potential, compared to the small membership fees.

if i can guarantee you which way it goes in 10 days, (either 1100+-10, or 1230+-10), otherwise i refund your membership fee.
i will specify the specific date and price for $spx target after your join.

in the mean time, i will provide all my extensive analysis and updates and reports.
this special offer needs to sign up before noon ET Labor Day (Sep 5).

this is a way of free trial that many folks ask for. let the result speaks for itself. nothing more important than the result!
PS. i never offered any free trial as many asked in the past.
please let me know.
thanks
humblestudent777@gmail.com

PS. current market is at very critical status, an extremely important pattern is developing. i am confident on this pattern as i am willing to offer this special offer for the first time. (a kind of free trial). i am presenting this pattern in detail in this weekend report.

PS. Labor Day weekend report Main coverage:
Intermediate Term (over the next 3 to 6 months) analysis.
Medium Term (the next month) analysis.
Short Term analysis.
Current development analysis.
Closer look - $spx, $indu, $rut, $compq, $wlsh, $vix, UPRO, SPXU, TNA, TZA.
Risk management.
Additional: $USD, $DAX, EEM.

$spx and $indu plunged from the intermediate term major resistances

2011-09-02T08:52:00.001-07:00

current market is at very critical status, an exemterly important pattern is defined for all major indexes.
also after the market close, a latest proved working rhythm pattern is discovered. i such have high confidence of this new undiscovered pattern, cross verified that i can guarantee it will work! check with me.

members updates are depend on market activities. i am watching and analyzing the market for the whole trading hours.
sometimes market is slower w/o much change, the i do less.
sometimes market is either very critical or very actively volatile, then i do more.
most of time i do 10 or more real time updates during the trading hours.
today i had 15 intraday updates.
yesterday 18, the day before yesterady 16.
sometimes i have more than 20, 25. a couple of times, more than 30 updates a day.
i try my best to bring members the most updated critical updates.
i also spend a lot of time to do a comprehensive weekend report to plan for the coming week, also medium term, intermediate term.
sometimes i also issue special report if i see something very critical, usually issue in the night or before the market open.

how important is this plunge from the major resistances and what is my view? check with me on membership.

market plunged on no job creation for Aug.

PS. until further notice, i suspend the stockcharts public list since only two person really serious about it and support with votes.

Goldman GS

2011-09-01T10:01:00.000-07:00

Sep 2: thanks to the only two supporters voted on the stockcharts public list for the past 24 hours!!!

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID4587061
last chart of the list.
vote to support, thanks.

i have been posting this chart for over a year - all the same, nothing changed - all as expected.
will it be the moment of truth to break the mid brown Fibonacci fan line, and crashing toward the lower Fibonacci fan line of below $30 or nil?
or will it bounce around a bit more before its destiny is due?

i guess, GS is bigger than LEH. bigger than LEH to fall?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44359764
nice market!

membership service

2011-08-29T23:50:00.000-07:00

Aug 31: ... $spx is 110 points higher since i real time issued the IT bullish call on Aug 22 at $spx 1122 to members with all the detailed technical analysis. The upside target issued on Aug 23, and reiterated on Aug 29, for ($spx, $indu, $compq, $rut) ...my perspective and analysis of next medium term market developement also issued to members.

shortly after 10 am ET, $indu pulling back from the daily IT trendline resistance. also is the MT ($indu, $spx) pair of pitch fork line. the news was DOJ blocks AT-T acqusition of T-mobile of antitrust. the news knocked down T and VZ, two $indu components. a perfect timing! during Jun ~ Jul 6-month trading range, i updated with this ($spx, $indu) MT pair of red pitch fork. they broke down on early Aug, now exactly back tested pitch fork line, which are now resistances.
... 17 real time updates with 15 charts analysis for the day. critical big picture TBT analysis issued, which invloves with overall market structure, and highly probable market developement going forward for intermediate term.
imho, all the following popular Elliott wave options are wrong:
wrong 1). bearish corrective wave 4 since the 1370 (or 1356)top.
wrong 2). bearish corrective wave c of (2) since the 1370 (or 1356)top.
wrong 3). bullish corrective wave 2 or wave-a of 2 for the entire rally from 3/6/2009.
i already knew the potential ew count when $spx was near 1101 bottom, all patterns, blueprints, technical supports/resistances matched.
my members' updates and reports are at least 20 times better than on the blog posts. i will try not to have critical analysis and views post on the blog, this is the fairness and courtesy concerns to my members.
join the membership to benefit from my analysis to make much more profits than the small fees.

Aug 29 night: a special 6 pages high alert member report issued.

recent months, the membership service is more focus on medium and intermediate term tradings. the results are exceptionally good as shown on the follwoing chart!
this is in contrast of early stage of membership service with a mix of intraday, short term, medium term tradings - which is more prone to market volatility whipsaws.

Aug 30: the main focus of the day is the IT green iso line. also the blue zone line and the red crash line, and various indicators. all within my expectation as real time updated to members.
with precise intraday short term updates on $spx, $indu, and $rut, tza.
the main focus is the medium and intermediate term technicals and perspectives.
17 real time updates with 12 various charts analysis. TLT analyzed.

IT two-sides-blade-system, MT reverse black swan, ST blue zone line, MT cycle top ...

2011-08-29T13:43:00.000-07:00

IT two-sides-blade-system, and MT reverse black swan work well as reported and expected, and ...

$spx broke above and stay above both the ST blue zone line, and the MT red crash line. could mean MT structural change.

important IT green iso line could provide a meaningful ST resistance. $spx closed right at the green iso line.
tza ($rut 3X bear) broke down sharply, closed right at the upper brown Fibo fan line support.

ST fear factor is in the extreme complacency zone.
up volume is extremely strong as a follow through of last Friday's reversal rally.
MT cycle top is ... as reported in the weekend report.
lots patterns, systems, indicators are my own proprietary, my original developement, i only share them with members.
join to save you money or make you profits.
small fees = best analysis + best calls = big profits
... for more details, contact me.

US Financial Index

2011-08-27T18:43:00.001-07:00

PS. Monday Aug 29, 10 am ET: market broke out to the upside, proceeding well with last Friday members real time reported (@spx 1135) bullish pattern, also all is well expected as in the weekend report.
all supports / resistances and patterns correctly real time reported to members.
how much more price and how much longer the patterns can last? all real time reporting to members.

PS. a guy asked: "do you have any type of guarantee?"
there is no service in the world can guarantee!!!
BUT i am confident on my analysis that i can offer some meaningful $spx price and time guarantee!!! check with me. humblestudent666@gmail.com
this offer expires 23:00ET Sunday Aug 28, 2011.

weekend member comprehensive report released. contact me if you are interested.
it's a very precise, promising report!

Main coverage:
Humble Two-Sides-Blade system ...
R. Black Swan system ...
Crash Line, Iso line.
Short Term market ...
Long Term ...
Medium term Cycle.
Risk management of black swan crash continuation ...
Extreme Great Crash Risk management, pattern, probability ...
DJ US Financial Index.
Extra International Stock Indexes -
Emerging markets (eem),
Euro STOxx ($stox5e),
German ($dax),
Japan ($nikk),
Taiwan ($twii),
US Dollar (UUP).

PS. from my multiple cycles study, i probably can "estimate with calculation" of what bernanke will do in the next fomc, and the roadmap toward there.
If the roadmap of my "QE3 guesser with stock market cycles" is correct, then QE3 or not could probably not that difficult to figure out. This roadmap consists of market long term, and intermidiate term, and FOMC cycles.

humble recent critical member reports

2011-08-24T17:52:00.000-07:00

Aug 26: no news from bernanke at the "Hole", keep it mysterious to the public.
no news from humble either, as the whole week's ST, MT, IT market moves all real time updated to members at the exact most critical junctures with relaible ST, MT, IT patterns. have a great weekend!

PS. as a fair rule, if there is something important change in the forecast, i will most likely only intensively real time notify members.
blindly follow public information without knowing details and catalysts at your own risk!
humblestudent777@gmail.com

here i humbly call major market indexes to make new 2011 high.

2011-08-23T09:48:00.000-07:00

after sucessfully called the black swan crash on Jul 22, here i made an Intermediate Term bullish call with the two-sides-blade-system special Aug 22 report.
this Intermediate Term bullish call is for major market indexes ($spx, $indu, $rut, $compq) to make new 2011 high. it's not a bounce call.
i am monitering some blueprints for this new high potential with overall structure, patterns and Elliott wave.

the sentiment out there is extremely bearish, very few people still bullish. It’s not easy for me to make this IT bullish call. all I based on are technicals, patterns, structure ...

i believe i am the first one to make this kind of new 2011 high bullish call right here at $spx 1123 (right here at $spx 1123, right here at $spx 1123... stress), probably is the only of anywhere(if not in the world) you can find under this distressed market status.

for details and developement going forward and how to trade this potential, check with me.

PS. Aug 24: Intermediate Term bullish call with the two-sides-blade-system proceeding well.
signal and report issued at $spx 1123, today at 1178.
not only the fish, but also the tools: shared with members three tactics of working version of trading tools for different time frames: short (micro) term. medium (intermediate) term and long term: it's forever yours for various time frame trading.

PS. Aug 24: for fun purpose only prediction: since yesterday 8/23 to 9/1, $spx or $indu will go up 8 days in a row without any down day. only for fun, lol, not for trading or other purposes.

humble river and black swan

2011-08-21T17:18:00.000-07:00

an extremely important membership Aug 22, 2011 special report issued.

PS. Aug 22: despite the ST volatilities, currently proceeding with the roadmap of the weekend report of potential medium term 400 $spx points swings, ...
========
Long term “Humble River” shows how the top was made, and how it crashes down.
i have posted this chart in the past, now it's an update.

in this weekend membership report,
i layout a roadmap potentially would have at least 400 $spx medium term / intermeidate swings in the black swan developement. which is more than current 240 points crash from Jul 22.
i use multiple methods and patterns to cross reference and prove of this potential roadmap. i see this roadmap is highly probable, since black swan crash proceeding as expected.

St. Louis FED Financial Stress Index - US is entering recession

2011-08-20T21:36:00.001-07:00

while economists are confusing and disputing, the chart speaks for itself.

FOMC statement on Jun 22:
" the economic recovery is continuing at a moderate pace, ... Household spending and business investment in equipment and software continue to expand..."

the more advance predicting model of humble black swan system reported the crash stress situation one month ago, and continue to project coming developement, and report to members.

St. Louis FED Financial Stress Index shows US is entering recession shade area, only a hair away, similar to 2008.
but also similar to summer 2010, which transitorily saved by QE2.
if solidly enter the shade area, it could mean US economic double dips, and $spx would move to approach Mar 2009 low of below 700.
watch this coming Friday' Fed's annual meeting in Jackson Hole.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44210099

major medium term humble member weekend reports and special reports at inflections.

2011-08-14T15:50:00.000-07:00

Aug 18: after yesterday reported $spx rejected at Intermediate term (iso line), Medium term(crash line), Short term(zone line) resistances, i have very important market medium and intermediate term updates on "matched" big picture patterns.
==========
Aug 17: today's market developement is all exactly as precise technicals real time members updates for both short term and medium term developement.
Intermediate term, Medium term, Short term resistances - at the day high 1208, $spx found resistances at three different time frames, all exactly at the same level with different technicals.
at the low of the day 1184, $spx found support exactly at the short term blue zone line.
...
falling off the cliff - since the debt downgrade, the resturants i go to, all have very significant less people (less than one half), compared to they mostly were full with people having meals. things have changed quickly with the black swan crash.
per cnbc, past weeks were the third largest dollar amout of large mutual funds pull out of the market since 2007. two largest ones were during Oct 2008.
=========

Aug 16: GOLD up 27, reached 1789. my pattern shows potential GOLD crash in the near term, unless GOLD makes new all time high above 1817 of last week's.
if the potential GOLD crash comes, what's the impact on the stock market?
for the past two days, $spx, $indu, $rut were back testing the crash line and were rejected.
========
i reported to members of black swan CRASH on Jul 22's, and trade both ways on medium term base.
for details and more, contact membership at:
humblestudent666@gmail.com

PS. Aug 15: ... proceeding well. i see it was coming, i see it's moving. i see majority of bulls and bears will be in disbelief even more than the black swan crash, will be in huge surprise. the fast move in a hurry from 1101 to 1204 acertain what i see. patterns rule!

I reported black swan crash on the Jul 22, 2011 member report while $spx was at 1347. Since then, $spx crashed 247 points from 1347 to 1101, and $indu crashed 2130 points, and $rut crashed 24% in just 12 trading days.

Then I reported bullish special member report on Aug 10 when $spx was at 1120, Today $spx closed at 1204.

Despite the daily intraday volatility, all my major medium term inflections reports are within 1 ~ 2 days of medium term top and bottom.
Currently, the market is proceeding well with my medium term bullish special report since $spx 1120 on Aug 10.
I also have the next medium term target planned and reported to members.

nasdaq $compq LT back test line

2011-08-12T13:52:00.000-07:00

this chart and $indu, $spx pairs all presented to members when $spx was at 1101 on Aug 9. they all got to the presented supports and moved substantially higher.
these are LT lines.
IT, also have corresponding exact ending low point.
crash line also issued during this plunge, the technical reason of so much volatilities is because $spx, $indu, $rut, $compq, $ndx all sliced through the crash line.
in case you missed this one, i have the future one in plan. there are stages for the overall of this "animal".

Jul 22 close's member report of black swan plays very well - crash down.
Aug 10 close's member special report of "black swan companion" plays well too - melt up.
Aug 12: another potential pattern within the "black swan companion" observed and reported.
for details and more, contact membership at:
humblestudent666@gmail.com

PS. it's united: majority of "professional" subscriptions and ew blogs are calling current rise from $spx 1101 as fourth wave and are looking for fifth wave new low. they all agreed! so what's the odds?
during late Jul, just when the black swan crash about to proceed, these same group of people, both bulls and bears, including the most bearish prechter's ewi, they all calling for triangle fourth wave, and were all looking for new 2011 high! they all missed by a mile in the total different direction. now they are calling fourth wave again.
i am on a different page, mainly due to the patterns, and black swan cycles.

$spx, gold - very volatile day

2011-08-11T13:31:00.000-07:00

today's market action on both GOLD and $spx is pretty much expected, good for the MT and IT roadmap as on the special pattern report.

yesterday i reported potential GOLD TOP at all time high of 1817.6 at the LT mid pitch fork resistance, also with the humble style GOLD_USD sentiment charts. today GOLD closed at 1751, down $66 an ounce.

PS. Aug 12:
after open gapped up on retail sales and short selling bans on Europe. shortly after open, $spx made 2 points higher then yesterday's high, and that's the high of the day.
then on a weak consumer sentiment reading of 54.9, $spx pull back to back test the upper blue trend channel line two more time, the line was also back tested at yesterday's close.
$spx is trying to build a base around 1173.
after the tremendous volatilities to the downside and upside, $spx only down 21 points or 1.8% from last Friday's close of 1199's.
...
$spx MT price target issued, a potential short term pattern observed, two conditions for qualification needed. tza could be moving toward the mid green pitch fork...
...
stockcharts public list voting still below expectation and shows little support, not enough for me to post more quality real time charts.

a very special huge pattern

2011-08-10T15:10:00.000-07:00

PS. Thursday Aug 11: did i see this rally? certainly! as this post shows, i sent a special report about this special pattern for the rally. what's next? and what's the medium term and intermediate term moves? it's all defined clearly in the special rport - only for subscribed members. i have a name for this special pattern, it's my own and original - it proved to be working in the past, and no reason it will not work again.
in my updates and reports, i not only give members the signals, i also detail the methords and patterns so members can apply in the future.
============

potentially will be a very-extremely-super-huge-enormorous surprise to both bulls and bears if stay on the wrong side.

if no extremely huge surprise to me, i plan to work on a special report to release to members tonight or tomorrow morning.

majority of people were huge surprised by the black swan crash ocurred in the past 2~3 weeks, but it's all detailed in my Jul 24 weekend report.

GOLD and USD - humble sentiment and humble pattern

2011-08-10T13:46:00.000-07:00

red curve is GOLD,
green curve is USD.
i construct this long term gold and usd charts, i call it humble gold_usd pattern-sentiment charts.
it's very interesting the sentiment of GOLD is at the same spot as USD year on 1985 top.
also USD current low rhythm well with the pattern as GOLD 2001 low. with here double bottom of higher low, the spread of the lows of both are multi-years, also double top with lower high at previous top rhythm well.

today JPM upgrade GOLD's target price to 2500 and higher, many banks also upgrade and see much higher prices of GOLD. these are the same banks(JPM, GS, MS, ...) upgrade oil a few times while oil was at $100 some weeks ago. just now hearing Kinross ceo Tye Burt on cnbc saying gold is a safe heaven, a safe place to invest, will be a lot higher...). many many analysts saying the same thing.

GOLD is at the top of the black mid pitch fork,
as the purple circled previous two instances, it might or might not have a climax overshoot before it's done.

PS. special: i can analyze any stock, any equity, any nation for you if join the membership now.

extremely volatile FOMC day

2011-08-09T14:26:00.000-07:00

today, i real time updated exactly the technical points of the reasons of $spx, $indu, $compq, $rut(tza) turned around at the day low. could have big impact of what's coming at least in the medium term.
today, i had 24 members real time intraday updates, covered long term, intermediate term, medium term, short term, micro term on $spx, $indu, $compq, $rut, $vix, tza ... all on critical junctures
black swan status updated.

on the stockcharts public list, i am #5 voted, much less votes than many of those mostly bullish guys, unreal! i am probably one of the very very few person saw the black swan crash case was coming near the market high (not just a regular top signal), and reported to members. but i deserve only few votes, so less real time stockcharts posted.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID4587061

an extremely volatile day on the FOMC day. $indu was sharply higher after the market open (+230). then down as much as 206 points after FOMC. and the closed up 429 points. the up and down swing for the day is 640 points with many big fast swings in between.